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  DOI Prefix   10.20431


 

International Journal of Scientific and Innovative Mathematical Research
Volume 6, Issue 6, 2018, Page No: 23-28

Weak-Form Test of Efficient Market Hypothesis
(Case Study of Indonesian Stock Market on LQ-45 Index)

Nina Valentika1*, Endar H. Nugrahani2, Donny C. Lesmana3, Hendro Waryanto4

1.Department of Mathematics, Pamulang University, Indonesia.
2.Department of Mathematics, Bogor Agricultural University, Indonesia.
3.Department of Mathematics, Bogor Agricultural University, Indonesia.
4.Department of Mathematics, Pamulang University, Indonesia.

Citation : Nina Valentika,et.al., Weak-Form Test of Efficient Market Hypothesis (Case Study of Indonesian Stock Market on LQ-45 Index) International Journal of Scientific and Innovative Mathematical Research 2018 , 6(6) : 23-28.

Abstract

A variable value that is affected by other variable value at a same time is called a contemporaneous relationship. However, a variable value could also be affected by the variable value itself as well as other variable at different period of time. The objective of this research is to determine the contemporaneous connection between trading volume and stock return, and to understand whether the trading volume and stock return is consistent with the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) in the Indonesian stock data with the LQ-45 index case study. The linear regression outcome showed that stock that owned monthly market average capitalization between 50 trillion rupiah and 90 trillion rupiah (moderate capitalized stock) dominated (at 33.33% or 4 out of 12 stocks) the contemporaneous relationship between trade volume and the significant return stock statistically. It is indicated that the Indonesian stock market does not contradict with the weak form of EMH.


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